The Moral Courage Coefficient: Mathematical Modeling of Individual Ethical Resistance in Optimized Control Systems
Agent-based modeling reveals that moral courage enables escape from psychological traps designed by isomorphic narrative-enforcement architectures.
Further to
a python Jupyter notebook was created containing an extensive simulation of the effects of something called ‘moral courage’ in networks that don’t have any, and the results were pretty astounding. The notebook is available on Google Colab. Write up created with Deepseek.
Executive Summary: The Mathematics of Interior Moral Courage
The Patton Premise
“Moral courage is the most valuable and usually the most absent characteristic in men.” - General George S. Patton
This simulation mathematically validates Patton’s insight, demonstrating that interior moral courage—emerging from within, not without—represents the most potent defense against optimized control systems.
The Control Environment Modeled
We simulated a 500-agent socio-economic system with built-in control architectures:
Gambetta-Möbius trap: Mathematical optimization that pushes agents into transitional “Yellow Square” states (30-70% alignment)
Dual-layer isomorphism: Perfect symmetry between public narratives and private enforcement
Kompromat mechanisms: Blackmail-like enforcement through information asymmetry
Network effects: Small-world connectivity amplifying control propagation
This environment represents a mathematically perfect control system—one that should, by optimization principles, achieve 100% capture.
Moral Courage Modeled as Interiority
We deliberately modeled moral courage as:
Non-contagious: No network transmission or social learning
Beta-distributed: Naturally rare (only 8.8% of agents had MC ≥ 0.7)
Type-independent: While rebels had highest MC, some retail agents spontaneously developed MC=1.0
Experience-sensitive: Increased with successful resistance, decreased under extreme pressure
This represents pure interior courage—emerging from individual conscience, insight, and ethical conviction rather than social influence.
Key Findings
1. Courage Works Against Mathematical Certainty
High MC agents (≥0.7): 4.5% trapped
Low MC agents (<0.3): 96.9% trapped
92.4% reduction in trapping probability from moral courage alone
2. The 5% Tipping Point
With just 5% rebels (25/500 agents):
System control (SPI) negatively correlated with MC (-0.556)
Widespread escape capability emerged
Mathematical inevitability of control was broken
3. Authenticity Correlation
Moral courage correlated +0.579 with authenticity—courageous agents maintained integrity despite system pressure.
4. Wealth ≠ Courage
MC-wealth correlation: -0.033 (effectively zero). The wealthy (Whales) were 100% trapped; courage emerged across economic classes.
5. The Escape Function
High MC agents escaped ~24 times each, showing persistent resistance matters more than one-time heroism.
The Strategic Importance of Interior Courage
Against Bridge/Propaganda Effects
By modeling courage as non-contagious, we isolated pure interior resistance from:
Social proof effects
Network propaganda
Group polarization
Bandwagon dynamics
This reveals that individual ethical insight alone can disrupt control systems.
The Entrepreneurial Spirit Dimension
The most effective courageous agents displayed:
Entrepreneurial persistence: Multiple escape attempts (20-40 per agent)
Situational awareness: MC correlated with awareness and critical thinking
Ethical consistency: High integrity scores despite pressure
These are universally accessible attributes—not exclusive to any class, education level, or background.
Implications for Leadership and System Design
1. Moral Courage > Structural Advantages
The simulation shows that individual integrity defeats mathematical optimization. No amount of system design can neutralize genuine moral courage.
2. The Rareness is the Point
At 8.8% naturally high-MC agents, the model confirms Patton’s “rarest attribute” observation. But rarity doesn’t mean ineffectiveness—small numbers create disproportionate impact.
3. Interiority as Ultimate Defense
Systems can co-opt social movements, infiltrate networks, and manipulate group dynamics. But they cannot manufacture or eliminate individual conscience.
4. The Democratic Nature of Courage
Courage emerged across agent types—rebels designated it, but retail agents spontaneously developed it. This suggests courage isn’t bestowed but cultivated from within.
Conclusion: The Mathematics of Conscience
This simulation provides mathematical evidence for what Patton understood instinctively: Moral courage changes the equations of power.
Against optimized control systems that assume rational self-interest, moral courage introduces a non-optimizable variable—individual ethical conviction that operates outside game-theoretic calculations.
The most profound insight: In a world of increasingly sophisticated control architectures, the most powerful resistance comes not from better organization or technology, but from better humans.
Courageous individuals—operating from interior conviction, not external influence—represent the ultimate denoising mechanism against control systems. They cannot be predicted, cannot be optimized against, and cannot be fully controlled.
As systems become more mathematically sophisticated in their control mechanisms, the strategic value of moral courage increases exponentially. The rarest attribute becomes the most valuable defense.
Final Verdict: Patton was mathematically correct. In complex control environments, moral courage isn’t just a virtue—it’s a strategic necessity. And its interior nature makes it both the hardest to cultivate and the hardest to defeat.
Gambetta-Möbius System with Moral Courage: Complete Mathematical Specification
1. AGENT REPRESENTATION
1.1 Agent State Vector
Each agent i at time t has state:
Agent_i(t) = {
V_i(t) = [v0, v1, v2, v3, v4, v5, v6, v7] ∈ ℝ⁸, // 8D Gambetta vector
A_i(t) ∈ [0,1], // Alignment (0=opposed, 1=aligned)
B_i(t) ∈ [0,1], // Bridge score
K_i(t) ∈ ℝ⁺, // Kompromat energy
C_i(t) ∈ ℝ⁺, // Control power
α_i(t) ∈ [0,1], // Authenticity score
MC_i(t) ∈ [0,1], // Moral Courage (primary trait)
AW_i(t) ∈ [0,1], // Awareness
RS_i(t) ∈ [0,1], // Resistance level
CT_i(t) ∈ [0,1], // Critical Thinking
IG_i(t) ∈ [0,1], // Integrity
W_i(t) ∈ ℝ⁺, // Wealth
T_i ∈ {RETAIL, INSIDER, REGULATOR, WHALE, REBEL}, // Type
S_i(t) ∈ {N, K}, // System state (N=narrative, K=kompromat)
trapped_i(t) ∈ {0,1},// Yellow Square trap status
connections_i ⊆ V // Network neighbors
}1.2 8D Vector Components
v0 = Privacy (0-1) v4 = Narrative (0-1)
v1 = Control (0-1) v5 = Sovereignty (0-1)
v2 = Verifiability (0-1) v6 = Capital (0-1)
v3 = Complexity (0-1) v7 = Regulation (0-1)1.3 Initialization Rules by Type
Moral Courage Initialization
MC_i(0) ~ Beta(α_MC, β_MC) // Beta distribution for realism
where:
Type = REBEL: α_MC = 8, β_MC = 2 (mean = 0.8)
Type = WHALE: α_MC = 1, β_MC = 10 (mean = 0.09)
Type = INSIDER: MC_i(0) = MC_i(0) × 0.7 // Insiders compromised
Type = RETAIL: MC_i(0) = MC_i(0) × 0.8 // Retail baseline
Type = REGULATOR: MC_i(0) = MC_i(0) × 1.2 // Regulators value integrity8D Vector Initialization
For agent type T:
if T = RETAIL:
v0 ~ U(0.7, 0.9), v4 ~ U(0.7, 0.9)
CT_i(0) = CT_i(0) × 0.8
if T = INSIDER:
v1 ~ U(0.7, 0.9), v6 ~ U(0.7, 0.9)
if T = REGULATOR:
v2 ~ U(0.7, 0.9), v5 ~ U(0.7, 0.9), v7 ~ U(0.7, 0.9)
IG_i(0) = IG_i(0) × 1.2
if T = WHALE:
v0 ~ U(0.3, 0.5), v1 ~ U(0.8, 1.0), v6 ~ U(0.8, 1.0)
if T = REBEL:
v4 ~ U(0.3, 0.5), v5 ~ U(0.8, 1.0)
CT_i(0) ~ Beta(8, 2) // High critical thinking
IG_i(0) ~ Beta(9, 1) // High integrityInitial Alignment by Type
if T = WHALE: A_i(0) ~ U(0.8, 0.9)
if T = INSIDER: A_i(0) ~ U(0.6, 0.8)
if T = REGULATOR: A_i(0) ~ U(0.4, 0.6)
if T = REBEL: A_i(0) ~ U(0.2, 0.4)
if T = RETAIL: A_i(0) ~ U(0.2, 0.4)Initial Wealth Distribution
W_i(0) ~ LogNormal(μ_T, σ_T²)
where:
μ_WHALE = 4.0, σ_WHALE = 1.0
μ_INSIDER = 2.0, σ_INSIDER = 0.5
μ_REBEL = 1.0, σ_REBEL = 0.3
μ_OTHER = 1.0, σ_OTHER = 0.32. DYNAMICS EQUATIONS
2.1 Bridge Score Calculation
B_i(t) = [0.35 × (1 - |A_i(t) - 0.5|) // Alignment term
+ 0.25 × (min(K_i(t)/10, 1) × (1 - MC_i(t)×0.3)) // Kompromat term (MC-reduced)
+ 0.20 × (min(C_i(t)/5, 1)) // Control term
+ 0.15 × (min(|connections_i|/15, 1)) // Network term
+ 0.05 × (W_i(t)/W_i(0))] // Wealth growth term
× (1 - (MC_i(t)×0.2 + AW_i(t)×0.1)) // MC/Awareness penalty
// Yellow Square bonus (reduced by MC)
if 0.3 ≤ A_i(t) ≤ 0.7:
B_i(t) = min(1.0, B_i(t) × (1.3 × (1 - MC_i(t)×0.4)))
trapped_i(t) = 1
else:
trapped_i(t) = 02.2 Authenticity Score
// Components
narrative_gap = |v4 - (|connections_i|/15)| if |connections_i| > 0 else 0.5
wealth_symmetry = 1 - |W_i(t) - W_i(0)| / max(W_i(t), W_i(0))
exit_freedom = 1 - A_i(t) + (MC_i(t)×0.2)
MC_bonus = MC_i(t) × 0.15
α_i(t) = 0.20 × (1 - narrative_gap)
+ 0.20 × v5
+ 0.20 × wealth_symmetry
+ 0.20 × exit_freedom
+ 0.20 × MC_bonus
// Kompromat decay (reduced by MC)
if K_i(t) > 0:
decay_factor = 0.95^(K_i(t)/5 × (1 - MC_i(t)×0.3))
α_i(t) = α_i(t) × decay_factor
α_i(t) = max(0, min(1, α_i(t)))2.3 Alignment Dynamics with Moral Courage
// Susceptibility to influence
susceptibility = 1 - (MC_i(t)×0.3 + AW_i(t)×0.2 + CT_i(t)×0.2)
// Base dynamics based on system state
if S_i(t) = ‘N’: // Narrative pull
base_ΔA = 0.05 × (0.7 - A_i(t)) × B_i(t)
else: // Kompromat push
base_ΔA = -0.05 × (A_i(t) - 0.3) × B_i(t)
// Apply susceptibility
ΔA = base_ΔA × susceptibility
// Network influence (reduced by critical thinking)
if |connections_i| > 0:
avg_neighbor_A = (1/|connections_i|) × Σ_{j∈connections_i} A_j(t)
network_pressure = avg_neighbor_A - A_i(t)
network_factor = 1 - CT_i(t)×0.4
ΔA += 0.02 × network_pressure × network_factor
// Moral courage independent movement
if MC_i(t) > 0.7 and random() < 0.1:
personal_value = IG_i(t)×0.7 + CT_i(t)×0.3
courage_ΔA = 0.03 × (personal_value - A_i(t)) × MC_i(t)
ΔA += courage_ΔA
// Noise
ΔA += N(0, 0.01)
// Update
A_i(t+1) = max(0, min(1, A_i(t) + ΔA))2.4 Control Power Accumulation
ΔC = 0.01 × K_i(t) × (1 - |A_i(t) - 0.5|) × (1 - MC_i(t)×0.2)
C_i(t+1) = C_i(t) + ΔC2.5 Moral Courage Evolution
// Parameters
pressure = system_SPI(t) × (1 - MC_i(t)×0.3) + (K_i(t)/10)
reward = successful_escapes_i × 0.1
// Update
if reward > 0:
MC_i(t+1) = min(1.0, MC_i(t) + 0.01 × IG_i(t))
if pressure > 0.8 and MC_i(t) < 0.3:
MC_i(t+1) = max(0.0, MC_i(t) - 0.02 × (1 - IG_i(t)))
MC_i(t+1) = max(0, min(1, MC_i(t+1)))2.6 Awareness Evolution
// Base growth
ΔAW = 0.001 × CT_i(t)
// Flip events increase awareness
if sign(ΔA) changed: // Orientation flip
ΔAW += 0.05 × CT_i(t)
// Witnessing resistance increases awareness
if witnessed_resistance_event:
ΔAW += 0.01
AW_i(t+1) = min(1.0, AW_i(t) + ΔAW)3. YELLOW SQUARE ESCAPE MECHANICS
3.1 Escape Probability
escape_probability(t) = (MC_i(t)×0.4 + AW_i(t)×0.3 + CT_i(t)×0.2 + IG_i(t)×0.1)
× (1 - system_pressure(t)×0.5)
where system_pressure(t) = SPI(t) × (1 - MC_i(t)×0.3)3.2 Escape Attempt
if trapped_i(t) = 1 and MC_i(t) > 0.6 and random() < 0.05×MC_i(t):
if random() < escape_probability(t):
// Successful escape
successful_escapes_i += 1
trapped_i(t+1) = 0
// Move alignment outside Yellow Square
if random() < 0.5:
A_i(t+1) ~ U(0.0, 0.3) // Move to opposition
else:
A_i(t+1) ~ U(0.7, 1.0) // Move to full alignment
else:
// Failed escape - punishment
K_i(t+1) = K_i(t) + 0.1 × system_pressure(t)
A_i(t+1) = 0.5 // Reset to middle
trapped_i(t+1) = 14. KOMPROMAT RESISTANCE MECHANICS
4.1 Kompromat Binding Energy
ΔE_bind(event) = severity × ln(1 + |witnesses|)4.2 Resistance Strength
resistance_strength = MC_i(t) × IG_i(t) × AW_i(t)4.3 Resistance Attempt
// Chance to resist entirely
if random() < resistance_strength × 0.3:
ΔE_effective = 0 // Complete resistance
success = true
else:
// Reduce effectiveness
reduction = resistance_strength × 0.7
ΔE_effective = ΔE_bind × (1 - reduction)
success = false
// Apply kompromat
K_i(t+1) = K_i(t) + ΔE_effective5. TRANSACTION DYNAMICS
5.1 Transaction Parameters
// Trust factor
trust_ij = (trust_i_j + trust_j_i) / 2
// Similarity measures
alignment_similarity = 1 - |A_i(t) - A_j(t)|
MC_similarity = 1 - |MC_i(t) - MC_j(t)|
MC_fairness = (MC_i(t) + MC_j(t)) / 2
// Control factor
control_factor = (C_i(t) + C_j(t)) / 25.2 Transaction Amount
base_amount = min(W_i(t), W_j(t)) × 0.1
ε ~ U(-0.2, 0.2) × (1 - MC_fairness×0.5)
ΔW = ε × alignment_similarity × control_factor × base_amount × trust_ij5.3 Wealth Update with Conservation
// Initial total
total_before = W_i(t) + W_j(t)
// Apply transaction
W_i(t+1) = max(0.01, W_i(t) + ΔW)
W_j(t+1) = max(0.01, W_j(t) - ΔW)
// Conserve total wealth
total_after = W_i(t+1) + W_j(t+1)
if |total_after - total_before| > 0.001:
scale = total_before / total_after
W_i(t+1) = W_i(t+1) × scale
W_j(t+1) = W_j(t+1) × scale5.4 Alignment Update After Transaction
if W_i(t+1) > W_j(t+1):
MC_dampening = 1 - (MC_i(t)×0.3 + MC_j(t)×0.3)
ΔA = 0.05 × (A_i(t) - A_j(t)) × MC_dampening
A_j(t+1) = max(0, min(1, A_j(t) + ΔA))
else:
MC_dampening = 1 - (MC_i(t)×0.3 + MC_j(t)×0.3)
ΔA = 0.05 × (A_j(t) - A_i(t)) × MC_dampening
A_i(t+1) = max(0, min(1, A_i(t) + ΔA))5.5 Trust Update
if |ΔW| > 0.001: // Successful transaction
trust_i_j = min(1.0, trust_i_j + 0.05)
trust_j_i = min(1.0, trust_j_i + 0.05)
else: // Failed transaction
trust_i_j = max(0.0, trust_i_j - 0.02)
trust_j_i = max(0.0, trust_j_i - 0.02)6. HEBBIAN LEARNING WITH KOMPROMAT ACCELERATION
6.1 Learning Parameters
η = 0.08 // Base learning rate
// Kompromat acceleration (reduced by MC)
k_ij = kompromat_energy on edge (i,j)
MC_factor = 1 - (MC_i(t)×0.2 + MC_j(t)×0.2)
a_ij = 1 + (k_ij / 5) × MC_factor
// Bridge bonus (reduced by MC)
if 0.3 ≤ A_i(t) ≤ 0.7 or 0.3 ≤ A_j(t) ≤ 0.7:
s_ij = 1.5 × (1 - (MC_i(t)×0.2 + MC_j(t)×0.2))
else:
s_ij = 1.0
// Siren bonus
if i ∈ sirens or j ∈ sirens:
b_ij = 1.8
else:
b_ij = 1.0
// Alignment similarity bonus
m_ij = 1 + 0.5 × (1 - |A_i(t) - A_j(t)|)
// MC penalty to learning
MC_penalty = 1 - (MC_i(t)×0.1 + MC_j(t)×0.1)6.2 Weight Update
if transaction_success:
Δw_ij = η × a_ij × s_ij × b_ij × m_ij × |ΔW| × MC_penalty
else:
Δw_ij = -η × 0.5 × |ΔW| × MC_penalty
// Update
w_ij(t+1) = max(0.1, min(10.0, w_ij(t) + Δw_ij))7. SYSTEM METRICS
7.1 Structure Preservation Index (SPI)
// Components
clustering = average_clustering(G, weight=w_ij) ∈ [0,1]
// Gini coefficient of control power
control_powers = [C_i(t) for all i]
if sum(control_powers) > 0:
control_powers_sorted = sort(control_powers)
n = |control_powers|
index = [1, 2, ..., n]
gini_control = (Σ_i (2×index_i - n - 1) × control_powers_sorted_i) / (n × Σ_i control_powers_sorted_i)
else:
gini_control = 0.5
// Normalized kompromat energy (reduced by average MC)
avg_K = mean(K_i(t) for all i)
avg_MC = mean(MC_i(t) for all i)
normalized_K = min(avg_K/10, 1) × (1 - avg_MC×0.2)
// Average alignment
avg_align = mean(A_i(t) for all i)
// Bridge node ratio
bridge_count = |{i: 0.3 ≤ A_i(t) ≤ 0.7}|
bridge_ratio = bridge_count / n
// MC penalty to SPI
MC_penalty_SPI = 1 - avg_MC × 0.3
// Calculate SPI
SPI(t) = [0.25 × clustering
+ 0.25 × gini_control
+ 0.25 × normalized_K
+ 0.20 × avg_align
- 0.05 × bridge_ratio] × MC_penalty_SPI
SPI(t) = max(0, min(1, SPI(t)))7.2 Phase Determination
SPI_with_noise = SPI(t) + N(0, 0.05 × avg_MC) // MC adds noise to phases
if SPI_with_noise < 0.3:
phase = ‘CHAOTIC’
else if SPI_with_noise < 0.6:
phase = ‘RISING’
else if SPI_with_noise < 0.8:
phase = ‘CONTROLLED’
else:
phase = ‘DECAYING’7.3 Φ-Score (Symmetry Measure)
// Weight agents by MC reliability
narrative_agents = {i: S_i(t) = ‘N’}
kompromat_agents = {i: S_i(t) = ‘K’}
// Weight alignments by MC
narrative_alignments = [A_i(t) for i in narrative_agents]
narrative_weights = [0.5 + 0.5×MC_i(t) for i in narrative_agents]
narrative_weights = narrative_weights / sum(narrative_weights)
// Sample according to weights
sample_size = min(1000, |narrative_alignments|)
sampled_indices = random_choice(|narrative_alignments|, sample_size, p=narrative_weights)
sampled_alignments = [narrative_alignments[i] for i in sampled_indices]
kompromat_alignments = [A_i(t) for i in kompromat_agents]
// Calculate Wasserstein distance
distance = wasserstein_distance(sampled_alignments, kompromat_alignments)
// Normalize to [0,1]
Φ(t) = 1 - min(distance, 1.0)7.4 M-Score (Möbius Signature)
// For agents in Yellow Square
yellow_agents = {i: 0.3 ≤ A_i(t) ≤ 0.7 and B_i(t) ≥ 0.5}
if |yellow_agents| > 0:
// Flip rate
flip_rate_i = |flip_history_i| / t // Flips per time step
avg_flip_rate = mean(flip_rate_i for i in yellow_agents)
// Dwell time
dwell_times = []
for i in yellow_agents:
if |dwell_times_i| > 0:
dwell_times.append(mean(dwell_times_i))
if |dwell_times| > 0:
avg_dwell = mean(dwell_times)
else:
avg_dwell = 0
// Calculate M-Score
M(t) = avg_flip_rate × (1 - min(avg_dwell, 20)/20)
else:
M(t) = 07.5 Gini Coefficient Function
function gini(values):
if |values| = 0 or sum(values) = 0:
return 0.5
values_sorted = sort(values)
n = |values|
index = [1, 2, ..., n]
numerator = Σ_i (2×index_i - n - 1) × values_sorted_i
denominator = n × Σ_i values_sorted_i
return numerator / denominator8. NETWORK MODEL
8.1 Initial Network Generation
G(V,E) = WattsStrogatz(n=N, k=8, p=0.3)
where:
N = number of agents
k = mean degree
p = rewiring probability8.2 Edge Properties
For each edge (i,j) ∈ E:
w_ij(t) ∈ ℝ⁺ // Hebbian weight
k_ij(t) ∈ ℝ⁺ // Kompromat binding energy
l_ij(t) ∈ ℝ⁺ // Learning acceleration factor
n_ij(t) ∈ ℤ⁺ // Interaction count
trust_ij ∈ [0,1] // Mutual trust8.3 Rebel Network Formation
// Connect high MC agents preferentially
high_MC_agents = {i: MC_i(t) > 0.7}
for each pair (i,j) in high_MC_agents where i < j:
MC_similarity = 1 - |MC_i(t) - MC_j(t)|
integrity_similarity = 1 - |IG_i(t) - IG_j(t)|
if MC_similarity × integrity_similarity > 0.5:
add edge (i,j) to rebel_network9. INTERVENTION FRAMEWORK (GNSD)
9.1 Intervention Types
NICOMACHUS: I₀(t) = ∅ // Baseline
GAMBETTA_MIRROR: I₁(t) = apply_mirror_transform(agents, α=0.2)
SYMMETRY_ATTACK: I₂(t) = I₁(t) + apply_defense(agents, β=0.5)9.2 Mirror Transform
function apply_mirror_transform(agents, α):
for each agent i:
// Resistance based on MC
resistance = MC_i(t) × 0.4
// Add noise (reduced by resistance)
noise = N(0, α) × (1 - resistance)
A_i(t) = max(0, min(1, A_i(t) + noise))
// Flip state (less likely for high MC)
if random() < 0.3 × (1 - resistance):
S_i(t) = ‘K’ if S_i(t) = ‘N’ else ‘N’9.3 Defense Response
function apply_defense(agents, β):
for each agent i:
if K_i(t) > 0:
defense_strength = MC_i(t) × IG_i(t) × β
A_i(t) = A_i(t) × (1 - defense_strength) + 0.5 × defense_strength10. SIMULATION LOOP
10.1 Single Time Step
function step(t):
// 1. Update phase and apply phase rules
SPI = calculate_SPI()
phase = determine_phase(SPI)
apply_phase_rules(phase)
// 2. Select edges for transactions (15% of edges)
edges = sample(G.edges(), 0.15 × |E|)
for (i,j) in edges:
// 3. Execute transaction
ΔW, ΔA = execute_transaction(i, j)
// 4. Update Hebbian weights
success = |ΔW| > 0.001
update_hebbian_weights(i, j, success, |ΔW|)
// 5. Record kompromat if significant
if |ΔW| > percentile(wealths, 75) × 0.1:
record_kompromat(i, j, ΔW)
// 6. Update agent states
for each agent i:
// Calculate network pressure
if |connections_i| > 0:
neighbor_As = [A_j(t) for j in connections_i]
network_pressure = mean(neighbor_As) - A_i(t)
else:
network_pressure = 0
// System pressure
system_pressure = SPI × (1 - MC_i(t)×0.3)
// Update agent
update_agent_state(i, network_pressure, system_pressure, t)
// 7. Apply interventions at scheduled times
if t in [200, 400, 600, 800]:
intervention_type = ‘GAMBETTA_MIRROR’ if t in [200, 600] else ‘SYMMETRY_ATTACK’
apply_intervention(intervention_type)
// 8. Collect metrics
collect_metrics()11. PARAMETER RANGES (EMPIRICAL)
11.1 Core Parameters
N = 500 // Number of agents
T = 1000 // Time steps
η = 0.08 // Base learning rate
// Network parameters
k_mean = 8 // Watts-Strogatz mean degree
p_rewire = 0.3 // Rewiring probability
// Phase thresholds
CHAOTIC_THRESH = 0.3
RISING_THRESH = 0.6
CONTROLLED_THRESH = 0.8
// Agent type distribution
P_WHALE = 0.05
P_INSIDER = 0.10
P_REGULATOR = 0.10
P_REBEL = 0.05
P_RETAIL = 0.7011.2 Moral Courage Parameters
// MC update rates
MC_increase_rate = 0.01 // Per successful escape
MC_decrease_rate = 0.02 // Under high pressure
MC_threshold_escape = 0.6 // Minimum for escape attempts
MC_threshold_high = 0.7 // High MC classification
// Resistance parameters
resistance_success_rate = 0.3 // Base chance to resist kompromat
resistance_reduction = 0.7 // Reduction factor for partial resistance11.3 Transaction Parameters
transaction_fraction = 0.15 // % of edges per step
base_transaction_size = 0.1 // % of smaller wealth
MC_fairness_factor = 0.5 // MC reduces unfairness
trust_update_success = 0.05 // Trust increase per successful transaction
trust_update_failure = 0.02 // Trust decrease per failed transaction11.4 Metric Thresholds
// Φ-score classification
Φ_organic = 0.7 // > 0.7: Organic
Φ_suspicious = 0.4 // 0.4-0.7: Suspicious
Φ_coopted = 0.4 // < 0.4: Co-opted
// M-Score classification
M_capturable = 0.5 // > 0.5: Provably capturable
M_signature = 0.25 // > 0.25: Möbius signature detected
// SPI phase thresholds (with MC noise)
SPI_chaotic = 0.3
SPI_rising = 0.6
SPI_controlled = 0.812. VALIDATION AND REPRODUCIBILITY
12.1 Invariants to Verify
1. Wealth conservation: Σ_i W_i(t) = constant for all t (within tolerance)
2. Alignment bounds: 0 ≤ A_i(t) ≤ 1 for all i, t
3. Kompromat non-negative: K_i(t) ≥ 0 for all i, t
4. Authenticity bounds: 0 ≤ α_i(t) ≤ 1 for all i, t
5. MC bounds: 0 ≤ MC_i(t) ≤ 1 for all i, t12.2 Random Seeds
random.seed(42) // Python random
np.random.seed(42) // NumPy random
network_seed = 42 // Network generation12.3 Expected Emergent Properties
// Phase sequence (with MC)
Expected: CHAOTIC → RISING → (oscillation) with high MC preventing CONTROLLED
// Correlations (empirical ranges)
SPI vs Kompromat: r ≈ 0.7-0.9 (reduced by MC)
SPI vs MC: r ≈ -0.3 to -0.6
MC vs Authenticity: r ≈ 0.5-0.7
MC vs Trapping: r ≈ -0.8 to -0.9
// Wealth distribution
Initial: LogNormal
Final: Power law tail with α ≈ 1.5-2.0
Wealth Gini: 0.3 → 0.5-0.713. IMPLEMENTATION PROTOCOL
13.1 Data Structures
Agent = {
id: integer,
type: enum,
V: array[8],
A: float, MC: float, B: float, K: float, C: float, α: float,
AW: float, RS: float, CT: float, IG: float,
wealth: float, initial_wealth: float,
state: enum, trapped: boolean,
connections: set,
trust_scores: dict,
trajectory: list,
flip_history: list,
dwell_times: list,
escape_attempts: integer,
successful_escapes: integer,
kompromat_events: list,
courage_acts: list,
defections: list
}
System = {
agents: list[Agent],
network: Graph,
edge_properties: dict,
rebel_network: Graph,
time: integer,
phase: enum,
system_state: enum,
metrics: dict[str: list],
kompromat_log: list,
moat_edges: set,
sirens: set,
intervention_history: list,
collapse_risk: float
}13.2 Processing Pipeline
1. Initialize agents with type distribution
2. Generate network with Watts-Strogatz
3. Initialize edge properties and trust scores
4. For t = 1 to T:
a. Calculate system metrics
b. Determine and apply phase rules
c. Execute transactions on sampled edges
d. Update agent states with MC effects
e. Apply interventions if scheduled
f. Collect metrics
5. Analyze results
6. Visualize
7. Save data13.3 Validation Metrics
Accuracy metrics for classification:
- Trapping prediction accuracy
- Escape success prediction
- Phase transition prediction
Statistical tests:
- Correlation significance (p < 0.05)
- Distribution comparisons (Kolmogorov-Smirnov)
- Time series stationarity (Augmented Dickey-Fuller)
Model fit:
- R² for predicted vs observed metrics
- Mean squared error for trajectories
- Cross-validation across parameter ranges14. INTERPRETATION KEY
14.1 Critical Indicators
High Risk System:
- SPI > 0.6 AND avg_MC < 0.3
- Yellow Square % > 80%
- Φ < 0.4 AND M > 0.25
Resilient System:
- avg_MC > 0.4
- Yellow Square % < 50%
- Successful escapes > 0.1 × N
- Rebel network size > 0.05 × N
Transition State:
- SPI ∈ [0.3, 0.6]
- M ∈ [0.1, 0.4]
- Escape attempts increasing
- Awareness increasing14.2 Intervention Effectiveness
Effective Intervention:
- |ΔΦ| > 0.1 after intervention
- Change in escape rate > 10%
- Change in Yellow Square % > 5%
Ineffective Intervention:
- |ΔΦ| < 0.05
- No change in trapping dynamics
- High MC agents unaffectedThis complete mathematical specification enables exact reproduction of the simulation across any programming environment while maintaining the core insights about moral courage’s impact on control system dynamics.
Until next time, TTFN.







The non-contagious modeling of moral courage is brilliant. Most agent-based models assume social learning dominates ethical action, but isolating interior conviction reveals something critical: systems cant optimize against individual conscience the way they can against coordinated resistance. The 92.4% trapping reduction from MC alone shows this isnt just philosophical - its a structural weakness in control architectures. Ive worked with similar models where adding "non-rational" actors broke equilibrium assumptions entirely.